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5 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 17.7 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSV 1860 München 2–2 FC Viktoria Köln | 2.55–0.95 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Draw against the xG: TSV 1860 München had 72% |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 3–1 Hoffenheim II | 2.41–1.44 | 59% · 19% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Rot-Weiß Essen |
| SSV Ulm 1846 5–1 FC Schweinfurt 05 | 2.58–1.77 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Win in line with xG for SSV Ulm 1846 |
| Verl 2–2 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.74–0.92 | 57% · 24% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Verl had 57% |
| VfL Osnabrück 2–0 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2.27–1.11 | 63% · 19% · 17% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.