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10 of 10 matches with xG: 38 goals from 35.9 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg 2–2 Hansa Rostock | 2.24–0.63 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Draw against the xG: MSV Duisburg had 74% |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 4–1 SSV Ulm 1846 | 4.08–1.92 | 75% · 12% · 13% | Win in line with xG for FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| Waldhof Mannheim 1–4 VfL Osnabrück | 1.09–2.63 | 13% · 16% · 70% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–1 FC Saarbrücken | 0.34–0.72 | 16% · 44% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Schweinfurt 05 1–2 Verl | 1.06–1.19 | 32% · 29% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Verl |
| FC Viktoria Köln 4–1 Havelse | 3.28–2.22 | 59% · 16% · 25% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| Energie Cottbus 3–2 Alemannia Aachen | 2.29–2.11 | 44% · 20% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| Erzgebirge Aue 2–2 Rot-Weiß Essen | 0.70–1.75 | 14% · 23% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Rot-Weiß Essen had 63% |
| SV Wehen 1–0 TSV 1860 München | 2.22–0.69 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for SV Wehen |
| Hoffenheim II 1–3 Stuttgart II | 2.48–2.29 | 44% · 19% · 37% | Close call, Stuttgart II won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.