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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 33.3 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg 2–1 Waldhof Mannheim | 2.62–1.44 | 63% · 18% · 20% | Win in line with xG for MSV Duisburg |
| Energie Cottbus 0–1 VfL Osnabrück | 0.63–0.72 | 28% · 39% · 33% | Close call, VfL Osnabrück won |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 1–2 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3.15–1.31 | 74% · 14% · 13% | Won against the xG: Rot-Weiß Essen |
| FC Schweinfurt 05 2–1 Hoffenheim II | 0.55–1.81 | 11% · 21% · 68% | Won against the xG: FC Schweinfurt 05 |
| SSV Ulm 1846 0–5 Hansa Rostock | 0.84–3.77 | 4% · 8% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Hansa Rostock |
| Verl 1–1 Erzgebirge Aue | 3.27–1.03 | 80% · 12% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Verl had 80% |
| FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Havelse | 0.93–0.62 | 41% · 35% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Stuttgart II 1–3 Alemannia Aachen | 1.77–1.28 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Won against the xG: Alemannia Aachen |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg 4–0 TSV 1860 München | 3.28–1.60 | 70% · 14% · 16% | Win in line with xG for SSV Jahn Regensburg |
| SV Wehen 0–1 FC Viktoria Köln | 1.55–1.11 | 47% · 25% · 27% | Won against the xG: FC Viktoria Köln |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.