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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 30.8 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim II 4–1 MSV Duisburg | 2.82–0.80 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim II |
| Alemannia Aachen 0–2 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.39–1.59 | 33% · 24% · 42% | Win in line with xG for SSV Jahn Regensburg |
| Hansa Rostock 2–0 FC Schweinfurt 05 | 3.97–0.65 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Hansa Rostock |
| Waldhof Mannheim 1–0 SV Wehen | 1.63–0.82 | 57% · 25% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Waldhof Mannheim |
| Havelse 2–1 SSV Ulm 1846 | 1.41–0.39 | 63% · 27% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Havelse |
| FC Viktoria Köln 1–5 Verl | 1.33–1.37 | 36% · 26% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Verl |
| VfL Osnabrück 1–0 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.17–0.86 | 43% · 30% · 27% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
| TSV 1860 München 2–0 FC Saarbrücken | 2.14–1.03 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for TSV 1860 München |
| Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 Stuttgart II | 0.37–2.14 | 5% · 16% · 79% | Draw against the xG: Stuttgart II had 79% |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 2–3 Energie Cottbus | 2.26–2.68 | 34% · 18% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.