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10 of 10 matches with xG: 40 goals from 35.2 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen 3–1 Erzgebirge Aue | 1.03–1.08 | 34% · 30% · 36% | Close call, SV Wehen won |
| Energie Cottbus 3–2 FC Viktoria Köln | 3.11–1.84 | 63% · 16% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| MSV Duisburg 3–1 Alemannia Aachen | 1.56–0.47 | 64% · 25% · 11% | Win in line with xG for MSV Duisburg |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 3–2 Hoffenheim II | 2.97–1.17 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| FC Saarbrücken 2–3 Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.62–2.63 | 23% · 18% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Rot-Weiß Essen |
| SSV Ulm 1846 0–1 TSV 1860 München | 0.59–0.92 | 23% · 36% · 42% | Win in line with xG for TSV 1860 München |
| FC Schweinfurt 05 2–3 Waldhof Mannheim | 2.57–1.85 | 54% · 19% · 28% | Won against the xG: Waldhof Mannheim |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–3 Hansa Rostock | 1.07–3.74 | 6% · 9% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Hansa Rostock |
| Verl 4–1 VfL Osnabrück | 0.93–0.87 | 35% · 33% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Verl |
| Stuttgart II 2–1 Havelse | 3.10–2.11 | 58% · 16% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Stuttgart II |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.