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4 of 10 matches with xG: 9 goals from 9.9 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim II 1–1 FC Schweinfurt 05 | 1.45–1.02 | 47% · 26% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfL Osnabrück 1–0 Energie Cottbus | 0.70–0.79 | 29% · 37% · 34% | Close call, VfL Osnabrück won |
| Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 Verl | 0.52–1.02 | 18% · 34% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| TSV 1860 München 2–2 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3.32–1.05 | 80% · 11% · 8% | Draw against the xG: TSV 1860 München had 80% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.