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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 29.0 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus 3–0 TSV 1860 München | 3.04–2.32 | 53% · 17% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| MSV Duisburg 1–0 VfL Osnabrück | 1.31–0.56 | 55% · 29% · 16% | Win in line with xG for MSV Duisburg |
| Waldhof Mannheim 1–1 Hoffenheim II | 2.17–0.44 | 78% · 16% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Waldhof Mannheim had 78% |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–0 Erzgebirge Aue | 1.41–1.13 | 43% · 26% · 30% | Win in line with xG for SSV Jahn Regensburg |
| FC Schweinfurt 05 1–3 Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.54–2.50 | 23% · 19% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Rot-Weiß Essen |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 1–2 FC Viktoria Köln | 0.84–0.56 | 40% · 38% · 23% | Won against the xG: FC Viktoria Köln |
| FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Alemannia Aachen | 2.04–1.14 | 58% · 21% · 21% | Draw against the xG: FC Saarbrücken had 58% |
| Stuttgart II 1–1 SSV Ulm 1846 | 0.93–1.34 | 26% · 28% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Verl 1–2 Hansa Rostock | 1.72–1.59 | 41% · 23% · 36% | Close call, Hansa Rostock won |
| SV Wehen 1–4 Havelse | 0.77–1.65 | 17% · 24% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Havelse |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.