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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 36.2 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge Aue 3–5 Hoffenheim II | 1.92–2.78 | 26% · 18% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim II |
| Hansa Rostock 2–3 FC Viktoria Köln | 2.60–1.35 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Won against the xG: FC Viktoria Köln |
| TSV 1860 München 1–1 Waldhof Mannheim | 2.11–1.61 | 49% · 21% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Havelse 0–3 Energie Cottbus | 0.81–3.06 | 7% · 11% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| VfL Osnabrück 4–0 FC Schweinfurt 05 | 2.66–0.68 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 1–0 MSV Duisburg | 1.65–1.71 | 37% · 23% · 40% | Close call, Rot-Weiß Essen won |
| Stuttgart II 3–1 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.20–2.21 | 20% · 20% · 60% | Won against the xG: Stuttgart II |
| SSV Ulm 1846 1–0 Verl | 1.98–0.64 | 69% · 20% · 11% | Win in line with xG for SSV Ulm 1846 |
| FC Saarbrücken 1–0 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.60–2.31 | 26% · 20% · 54% | Won against the xG: FC Saarbrücken |
| Alemannia Aachen 3–0 SV Wehen | 2.68–0.64 | 80% · 13% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Alemannia Aachen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.