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3 of 10 matches with xG: 16 goals from 9.1 xG (1.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg 2–1 Energie Cottbus | 0.64–1.62 | 14% · 24% · 61% | Won against the xG: MSV Duisburg |
| SV Wehen 2–3 VfL Osnabrück | 0.98–2.88 | 10% · 14% · 76% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 3–5 Erzgebirge Aue | 1.50–1.47 | 38% · 24% · 37% | Close call, Erzgebirge Aue won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.