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9 of 9 matches with xG: 38 goals from 30.8 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 4–0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.57–0.32 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Union Berlin 2–1 SC Freiburg | 2.31–0.98 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Union Berlin |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 FC Augsburg | 2.45–1.17 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 RB Leipzig | 2.12–1.63 | 49% · 21% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Mainz 05 | 0.76–1.80 | 15% · 23% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| Hoffenheim 4–2 Bayern Munich | 1.78–1.52 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Werder Bremen 4–1 VfL Bochum | 3.02–2.09 | 57% · 17% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.59–1.41 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 4–1 FC Cologne | 1.01–2.29 | 15% · 19% · 66% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Heidenheim |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.