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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 25.4 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg 0–1 VfB Stuttgart | 0.70–1.77 | 14% · 23% · 63% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| RB Leipzig 1–1 Werder Bremen | 1.44–1.05 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| SC Freiburg 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.58–0.45 | 66% · 24% · 10% | Draw against the xG: SC Freiburg had 66% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.43–1.67 | 9% · 23% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Eintracht Frankfurt had 68% |
| FC Cologne 3–2 Union Berlin | 3.20–1.58 | 69% · 15% · 16% | Win in line with xG for FC Cologne |
| Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund | 2.19–0.36 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 0–6 Hoffenheim | 0.62–3.35 | 4% · 8% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Bayern Munich 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg | 0.29–0.13 | 23% · 68% · 9% | Close call, Bayern Munich won |
| VfL Bochum 0–5 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.29–4.29 | 1% · 3% · 97% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.