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9 of 9 matches with xG: 34 goals from 28.9 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig | 1.74–0.88 | 58% · 23% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Hoffenheim had 58% |
| Borussia Dortmund 5–1 FC Augsburg | 3.62–2.64 | 57% · 15% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.19–0.38 | 79% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| Werder Bremen 2–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.34–1.83 | 28% · 23% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayern Munich | 1.66–1.65 | 39% · 23% · 38% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| FC Cologne 0–0 SC Freiburg | 0.92–0.82 | 36% · 34% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Berlin 3–4 VfL Bochum | 0.87–1.42 | 23% · 27% · 50% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–5 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.95–2.68 | 28% · 18% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–1 Mainz 05 | 0.94–1.40 | 25% · 27% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.