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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 29.4 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum 3–2 Hoffenheim | 3.31–1.01 | 81% · 11% · 8% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| Bayern Munich 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.42–0.46 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund | 2.61–1.67 | 58% · 18% · 24% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| SC Freiburg 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg | 2.25–0.53 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Won against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg |
| FC Augsburg 0–3 Werder Bremen | 0.59–2.03 | 10% · 19% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart | 1.43–1.66 | 33% · 24% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 Union Berlin | 0.88–1.02 | 30% · 32% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mainz 05 1–1 FC Cologne | 1.64–2.54 | 24% · 19% · 57% | Draw against the xG: FC Cologne had 57% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.73–1.59 | 17% · 25% · 58% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.