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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.1 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 FC Augsburg | 1.87–0.41 | 73% · 20% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 VfL Bochum | 0.85–1.30 | 24% · 29% · 47% | Won against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg |
| FC Cologne 0–2 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.06–1.81 | 22% · 23% · 55% | Win in line with xG for SV Darmstadt 98 |
| Hoffenheim 4–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.55–0.99 | 71% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–2 RB Leipzig | 1.03–1.84 | 21% · 23% · 56% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Union Berlin 1–5 Bayern Munich | 1.24–1.45 | 32% · 26% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Werder Bremen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart | 1.53–2.43 | 23% · 19% · 57% | Won against the xG: Werder Bremen |
| Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.49–1.14 | 16% · 32% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen had 52% |
| SC Freiburg 1–1 Mainz 05 | 0.98–1.15 | 31% · 30% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.