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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 23.2 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg 2–0 Union Berlin | 1.60–1.60 | 38% · 23% · 38% | Close call, FC Augsburg won |
| Bayern Munich 2–0 FC Cologne | 2.16–0.82 | 68% · 19% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| RB Leipzig 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.26–0.40 | 58% · 30% · 12% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Mainz 05 4–1 Hoffenheim | 2.15–0.55 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Borussia Dortmund | 1.17–1.33 | 33% · 27% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| VfL Bochum 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.26–1.11 | 40% · 28% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfB Stuttgart 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.22–0.59 | 52% · 30% · 18% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 SC Freiburg | 1.08–0.91 | 39% · 31% · 30% | Close call, SC Freiburg won |
| Bayer Leverkusen 5–0 Werder Bremen | 3.30–0.69 | 86% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.