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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 27.0 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig 2–3 VfB Stuttgart | 1.14–2.60 | 15% · 17% · 69% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Holstein Kiel | 2.43–0.81 | 73% · 16% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Hoffenheim 0–4 Bayern Munich | 0.40–1.45 | 10% · 26% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–4 Werder Bremen | 1.59–2.21 | 28% · 20% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| SC Freiburg 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.72–2.04 | 12% · 20% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| FC Augsburg 1–2 Union Berlin | 1.70–0.82 | 58% · 24% · 18% | Won against the xG: Union Berlin |
| Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen | 3.08–1.24 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Mainz 05 had 74% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 0.92–1.72 | 20% · 24% · 56% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| FC St. Pauli 0–2 VfL Bochum | 0.79–1.32 | 22% · 28% · 49% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.