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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 27.2 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 Hoffenheim | 0.98–1.37 | 27% · 27% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Werder Bremen 0–0 RB Leipzig | 2.06–1.72 | 46% · 21% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Berlin 0–3 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.45–1.12 | 15% · 33% · 53% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
| VfL Bochum 1–4 Mainz 05 | 0.89–1.47 | 23% · 26% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg | 0.98–1.58 | 23% · 25% · 51% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| Bayern Munich 2–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.53–1.53 | 59% · 18% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 Borussia Dortmund | 2.20–1.16 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Won against the xG: Borussia Dortmund |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 FC St. Pauli | 1.66–0.83 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Eintracht Frankfurt had 57% |
| VfB Stuttgart 4–0 FC Augsburg | 4.19–0.49 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.