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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 26.1 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim 0–0 VfL Bochum | 0.56–1.28 | 16% · 29% · 54% | Draw against the xG: VfL Bochum had 54% |
| RB Leipzig 3–3 Bayern Munich | 0.90–1.56 | 22% · 25% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Bayern Munich had 53% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–4 Hoffenheim | 1.42–1.85 | 30% · 23% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Berlin 2–2 Werder Bremen | 1.48–1.51 | 37% · 24% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC St. Pauli 0–1 VfB Stuttgart | 0.22–2.82 | 2% · 8% · 90% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Borussia Dortmund 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg | 2.43–0.70 | 76% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| FC Augsburg 1–3 Holstein Kiel | 3.22–2.15 | 59% · 16% · 25% | Won against the xG: Holstein Kiel |
| SC Freiburg 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.78–0.33 | 43% · 42% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.47–1.38 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.