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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 37.2 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburger SV | 3.27–1.79 | 67% · 15% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen had 67% |
| Bayern Munich 5–1 FC Cologne | 3.05–0.98 | 79% · 13% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 Hoffenheim | 1.20–1.62 | 28% · 25% · 47% | Won against the xG: Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 VfB Stuttgart | 2.56–1.32 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Eintracht Frankfurt had 64% |
| SC Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig | 1.41–1.24 | 41% · 26% · 33% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz 05 | 2.53–3.71 | 25% · 15% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| FC St. Pauli 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.48–3.50 | 12% · 13% · 75% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| Union Berlin 4–0 FC Augsburg | 3.68–0.61 | 91% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Union Berlin |
| Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund | 0.49–2.74 | 4% · 11% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.