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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 29.2 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.94–1.12 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| FC Augsburg 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.59–1.14 | 69% · 17% · 15% | Win in line with xG for FC Augsburg |
| Hoffenheim 1–0 Werder Bremen | 1.52–1.07 | 48% · 26% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli | 1.37–0.79 | 51% · 28% · 22% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen | 3.04–0.54 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 Bayern Munich | 3.04–1.85 | 62% · 16% · 22% | Won against the xG: Bayern Munich |
| Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg | 1.98–0.41 | 75% · 18% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Hamburger SV |
| FC Cologne 1–3 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.17–1.36 | 32% · 27% · 41% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
| Mainz 05 1–3 Union Berlin | 1.57–2.68 | 21% · 18% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Union Berlin |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.