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Bundesliga 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 32

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Matches

Matchday 32 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 34 goals from 30.4 xG (1.12 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Bayern Munich 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim2.31–2.5936% · 18% · 46%Draw in line with xG
Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburger SV0.65–0.6231% · 41% · 29%Close call, Hamburger SV won
Hoffenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart2.47–1.5757% · 19% · 24%Draw against the xG: Hoffenheim had 57%
Union Berlin 2–2 FC Cologne1.15–1.7525% · 24% · 51%Draw against the xG: FC Cologne had 51%
Werder Bremen 1–3 FC Augsburg1.35–2.5719% · 18% · 64%Win in line with xG for FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig4.42–1.1789% · 7% · 5%Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli 1–2 Mainz 050.84–2.5410% · 16% · 74%Win in line with xG for Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund2.20–0.4977% · 16% · 7%Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach
SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg0.94–0.8237% · 33% · 30%Draw in line with xG

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 31 · Matchday 33

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