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7 of 7 matches with xG: 25 goals from 21.2 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg W 0–3 RB Leipzig W | 0.72–2.66 | 8% · 14% · 79% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig W |
| FC Koln W 3–1 Hamburger SV W | 1.14–0.68 | 47% · 31% · 22% | Win in line with xG for FC Koln W |
| Bayer Leverkusen W 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W | 0.63–2.13 | 10% · 18% · 72% | Draw against the xG: Eintracht Frankfurt W had 72% |
| Union Berlin W 2–1 Nürnberg W | 1.53–1.16 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Union Berlin W |
| Mainz 05 W 0–5 VfL Wolfsburg W | 0.37–3.15 | 2% · 8% · 90% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg W |
| Bayern Munich W 5–0 Stuttgart W | 4.81–0.55 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich W |
| Werder Bremen W 3–0 1899 Hoffenheim W | 1.45–0.25 | 68% · 26% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen W |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.