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7 of 7 matches with xG: 33 goals from 24.1 xG (1.37 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig W 1–5 Bayern Munich W | 1.24–1.88 | 25% · 23% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich W |
| VfL Wolfsburg W 3–0 FC Koln W | 1.81–0.76 | 62% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg W |
| Stuttgart W 0–3 Eintracht Frankfurt W | 0.65–3.89 | 3% · 6% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt W |
| 1899 Hoffenheim W 3–1 Mainz 05 W | 1.86–0.88 | 60% · 22% · 17% | Win in line with xG for 1899 Hoffenheim W |
| Werder Bremen W 4–3 SC Freiburg W | 1.40–1.91 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Won against the xG: Werder Bremen W |
| Nürnberg W 2–0 Bayer Leverkusen W | 1.79–1.99 | 35% · 21% · 43% | Close call, Nürnberg W won |
| Hamburger SV W 4–4 Union Berlin W | 1.86–2.20 | 33% · 20% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.