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7 of 7 matches with xG: 17 goals from 18.6 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Volos NFC 1–3 Kifisia | 0.57–1.18 | 18% · 31% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Kifisia |
| Aris Thessaloniki 3–0 Panetolikos | 2.06–0.93 | 63% · 20% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Aris Thessaloniki |
| AEK Athens 2–1 Levadiakos | 2.62–0.58 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Win in line with xG for AEK Athens |
| Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Kalamata | 0.89–0.82 | 35% · 34% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Iraklis 1908 1–2 Panathinaikos | 1.13–2.60 | 14% · 17% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Panathinaikos |
| OFI 0–0 Atromitos | 1.51–0.34 | 67% · 25% · 8% | Draw against the xG: OFI had 67% |
| Olympiacos 1–1 PAOK | 1.80–1.60 | 43% · 23% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.