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7 of 7 matches with xG: 19 goals from 18.7 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kifisia 2–3 Olympiacos | 1.65–1.05 | 51% · 24% · 24% | Won against the xG: Olympiacos |
| Levadiakos 3–0 Aris Thessaloniki | 2.45–0.36 | 84% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Levadiakos |
| Panetolikos 0–1 OFI | 0.72–1.42 | 19% · 27% · 54% | Win in line with xG for OFI |
| PAOK 2–1 Asteras Tripolis | 2.09–0.83 | 67% · 20% · 14% | Win in line with xG for PAOK |
| Panathinaikos 2–0 AEK Athens | 0.64–1.08 | 22% · 33% · 46% | Won against the xG: Panathinaikos |
| Atromitos 3–0 Volos NFC | 2.41–0.52 | 79% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Atromitos |
| Kalamata 1–1 Iraklis 1908 | 2.45–0.99 | 69% · 17% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Kalamata had 69% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.