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5 of 7 matches with xG: 18 goals from 15.7 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis 1908 2–3 Kifisia | 0.77–1.84 | 15% · 22% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Kifisia |
| AEK Athens 5–0 Panetolikos | 3.98–0.31 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for AEK Athens |
| Volos NFC 0–1 Panathinaikos | 0.18–2.08 | 2% · 15% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Panathinaikos |
| Aris Thessaloniki 3–1 Atromitos | 0.82–0.63 | 37% · 37% · 26% | Close call, Aris Thessaloniki won |
| OFI 2–1 PAOK | 2.83–2.23 | 51% · 18% · 31% | Win in line with xG for OFI |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.