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5 of 7 matches with xG: 18 goals from 18.9 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levadiakos 0–0 Volos NFC | 1.36–0.30 | 64% · 28% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Levadiakos had 64% |
| Kalamata 4–3 OFI | 1.79–1.98 | 36% · 21% · 43% | Close call, Kalamata won |
| Panetolikos 0–2 Olympiacos | 1.31–2.52 | 18% · 18% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Olympiacos |
| Panathinaikos 5–1 Asteras Tripolis | 5.80–0.91 | 96% · 2% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Panathinaikos |
| PAOK 2–1 Iraklis 1908 | 2.10–0.84 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Win in line with xG for PAOK |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.