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4 of 7 matches with xG: 11 goals from 13.5 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Bengal II 3–0 Odisha | 2.21–0.63 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for East Bengal II |
| Odisha 1–1 Bengaluru | 1.36–2.98 | 15% · 15% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Bengaluru had 70% |
| Mohammedan 0–4 Mumbai City | 0.39–2.34 | 5% · 14% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Mumbai City |
| ATK Mohun Bagan 1–1 East Bengal II | 1.82–1.76 | 40% · 22% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.