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7 of 7 matches with xG: 17 goals from 16.6 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Bengal II 0–0 Goa | 0.92–0.36 | 48% · 38% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| ATK Mohun Bagan 5–1 Odisha | 2.08–1.10 | 60% · 21% · 19% | Win in line with xG for ATK Mohun Bagan |
| Jamshedpur 1–0 Inter Kashi | 1.36–1.41 | 36% · 25% · 38% | Close call, Jamshedpur won |
| Mohammedan 1–2 Bengaluru | 0.65–1.55 | 15% · 25% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Bengaluru |
| Kerala Blasters 0–1 Chennaiyin | 2.82–0.73 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Won against the xG: Chennaiyin |
| Mumbai City 2–2 SC Delhi | 0.57–1.25 | 17% · 30% · 53% | Draw against the xG: SC Delhi had 53% |
| Minerva Punjab 1–1 NorthEast United | 1.01–0.75 | 41% · 33% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.