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6 of 7 matches with xG: 10 goals from 13.7 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Bengal II 1–1 Kerala Blasters | 1.43–0.72 | 54% · 27% · 19% | Draw against the xG: East Bengal II had 54% |
| Bengaluru 0–0 ATK Mohun Bagan | 0.96–2.01 | 17% · 21% · 62% | Draw against the xG: ATK Mohun Bagan had 62% |
| NorthEast United 2–1 Jamshedpur | 0.48–0.99 | 18% · 35% · 47% | Won against the xG: NorthEast United |
| Inter Kashi 1–2 Mumbai City | 1.44–2.05 | 27% · 21% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Mumbai City |
| Minerva Punjab 1–1 Goa | 1.13–0.91 | 41% · 30% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chennaiyin 0–0 Mohammedan | 1.19–0.37 | 57% · 31% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Chennaiyin had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.