Premier Division 2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 1

Matchday 1 in xG

3 of 5 matches with xG: 5 goals from 6.5 xG (0.77 goals per xG).

• Most xG without a win: Waterford 1–1 Shelbourne (xG 0.86–2.38). Draw against the xG: Shelbourne had 71% to win on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: Derry City 2–1 Sligo Rovers (xG 2.20–0.53). The winner had 76% on xG.
• Most xG: Waterford 1–1 Shelbourne (xG 0.86–2.38). 3.24 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: Derry City 2–1 Sligo Rovers (xG 2.20–0.53). An xG gap of 1.67.
• Most goals above xG: Sligo Rovers, +0.47 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: Shelbourne, -1.38 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 2