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4 of 5 matches with xG: 15 goals from 13.5 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City 1–2 Shelbourne | 0.89–1.04 | 30% · 31% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Shelbourne |
| Dundalk 5–0 Waterford | 3.16–0.88 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Dundalk |
| St Patrick's Athl. 4–1 Drogheda United | 3.44–1.30 | 78% · 12% · 10% | Win in line with xG for St Patrick's Athl. |
| Sligo Rovers 0–2 Shamrock Rovers | 1.21–1.55 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Shamrock Rovers |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.