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4 of 5 matches with xG: 9 goals from 10.4 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City 2–2 Drogheda United | 0.99–0.72 | 41% · 33% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Waterford 0–2 St Patrick's Athl. | 0.60–3.40 | 3% · 8% · 89% | Win in line with xG for St Patrick's Athl. |
| Bohemians 1–1 Dundalk | 1.03–1.79 | 22% · 23% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Dundalk had 55% |
| Sligo Rovers 0–1 Shelbourne | 1.12–0.71 | 45% · 32% · 23% | Won against the xG: Shelbourne |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.