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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 24.9 xG (1.29 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa 0–0 Torino | 0.53–0.43 | 30% · 48% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Napoli 2–1 Salernitana | 2.19–0.12 | 86% · 13% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Hellas Verona 2–1 Empoli | 0.81–0.83 | 32% · 35% · 33% | Close call, Hellas Verona won |
| Monza 1–5 Inter | 1.02–4.37 | 4% · 6% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Lazio 1–0 Lecce | 0.88–1.11 | 29% · 31% · 41% | Close call, Lazio won |
| Cagliari 2–1 Bologna | 0.68–0.59 | 33% · 41% · 27% | Close call, Cagliari won |
| Fiorentina 2–2 Udinese | 1.34–1.21 | 40% · 27% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| AC Milan 3–1 AS Roma | 1.49–1.40 | 40% · 25% · 36% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Atalanta 5–0 Frosinone | 4.01–0.42 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo | 1.17–0.27 | 60% · 32% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.