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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 26.0 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli 0–3 Atalanta | 1.67–0.87 | 56% · 24% · 19% | Won against the xG: Atalanta |
| Genoa 1–1 Frosinone | 1.48–0.82 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Genoa had 53% |
| Torino 1–0 Monza | 1.57–0.77 | 56% · 25% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Lazio 1–0 Juventus | 1.07–0.54 | 48% · 33% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan | 1.38–3.10 | 14% · 14% · 72% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Bologna 3–0 Salernitana | 1.61–0.62 | 61% · 24% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Cagliari 1–1 Hellas Verona | 0.64–1.43 | 17% · 27% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Hellas Verona had 56% |
| Sassuolo 1–1 Udinese | 1.20–1.52 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lecce 0–0 AS Roma | 1.82–1.32 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Inter 2–0 Empoli | 2.09–0.49 | 75% · 18% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.