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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 29.6 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio 4–1 Salernitana | 1.89–0.57 | 69% · 21% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Lecce 1–0 Empoli | 2.67–0.12 | 91% · 8% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
| Torino 0–0 Juventus | 0.56–1.17 | 18% · 31% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 51% |
| Bologna 0–0 Monza | 2.11–0.43 | 77% · 17% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Bologna had 77% |
| Napoli 2–2 Frosinone | 2.21–2.42 | 37% · 19% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sassuolo 3–3 AC Milan | 1.19–2.84 | 13% · 15% · 72% | Draw against the xG: AC Milan had 72% |
| Inter 2–2 Cagliari | 2.07–1.07 | 60% · 21% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Inter had 60% |
| Fiorentina 1–1 Genoa | 1.50–1.51 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atalanta 2–2 Hellas Verona | 1.54–1.52 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Udinese 1–2 AS Roma | 0.72–1.49 | 18% · 26% · 56% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.