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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone 3–0 Salernitana | 1.70–1.41 | 44% · 24% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Frosinone |
| Lecce 1–1 Monza | 0.98–1.14 | 31% · 30% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juventus 0–0 AC Milan | 1.48–0.31 | 67% · 25% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 67% |
| Lazio 1–0 Hellas Verona | 1.09–0.62 | 47% · 33% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Inter 2–0 Torino | 1.71–0.49 | 67% · 23% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Bologna 1–1 Udinese | 0.75–0.74 | 32% · 37% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atalanta 2–0 Empoli | 1.89–0.42 | 73% · 20% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Napoli 2–2 AS Roma | 2.97–1.57 | 66% · 16% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Napoli had 66% |
| Fiorentina 5–1 Sassuolo | 3.27–0.27 | 93% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Genoa 3–0 Cagliari | 1.18–1.12 | 37% · 28% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.