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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino 0–0 Bologna | 0.66–0.16 | 43% · 49% · 8% | Draw in line with xG |
| Monza 2–2 Lazio | 1.74–1.40 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sassuolo 1–0 Inter | 0.30–1.08 | 10% · 34% · 56% | Won against the xG: Sassuolo |
| Cagliari 1–1 Lecce | 0.96–1.82 | 20% · 23% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Lecce had 58% |
| Empoli 0–0 Frosinone | 0.31–1.30 | 9% · 29% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Frosinone had 62% |
| Hellas Verona 2–1 Fiorentina | 1.89–0.94 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Hellas Verona |
| AC Milan 3–3 Genoa | 2.80–0.96 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Draw against the xG: AC Milan had 76% |
| AS Roma 1–1 Juventus | 1.76–1.20 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Draw against the xG: AS Roma had 51% |
| Salernitana 1–2 Atalanta | 0.50–1.86 | 9% · 20% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Udinese 1–1 Napoli | 0.75–0.83 | 30% · 36% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.