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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 26.4 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como 0–2 Inter | 1.25–1.39 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Napoli 2–0 Cagliari | 2.49–0.11 | 89% · 10% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Bologna 1–3 Genoa | 0.75–1.17 | 24% · 31% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| AC Milan 2–0 Monza | 1.49–0.34 | 67% · 25% · 8% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Atalanta 2–3 Parma | 1.13–2.70 | 14% · 16% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Parma |
| Empoli 1–2 Hellas Verona | 0.90–0.82 | 35% · 34% · 31% | Close call, Hellas Verona won |
| Lazio 0–1 Lecce | 1.64–0.42 | 68% · 23% · 9% | Won against the xG: Lecce |
| Torino 0–2 AS Roma | 0.47–1.95 | 8% · 19% · 73% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Udinese 2–3 Fiorentina | 1.52–2.97 | 17% · 16% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Venezia 2–3 Juventus | 0.88–1.96 | 16% · 21% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.