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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.2 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa 2–3 Atalanta | 1.22–1.96 | 24% · 22% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| Cagliari 3–0 Venezia | 1.52–0.68 | 58% · 26% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Fiorentina 3–2 Bologna | 1.77–2.39 | 29% · 19% · 52% | Won against the xG: Fiorentina |
| Hellas Verona 1–1 Como | 1.50–0.68 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Hellas Verona had 57% |
| Inter 2–2 Lazio | 1.13–2.09 | 20% · 21% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Lazio had 59% |
| Juventus 2–0 Udinese | 1.78–0.34 | 73% · 20% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Lecce 1–0 Torino | 0.83–0.48 | 41% · 39% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
| Monza 1–3 Empoli | 1.15–1.27 | 33% · 27% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Empoli |
| Parma 0–0 Napoli | 0.37–0.38 | 23% · 54% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| AS Roma 3–1 AC Milan | 1.07–1.55 | 26% · 25% · 48% | Won against the xG: AS Roma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.