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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 29.4 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta | 0.85–1.38 | 23% · 28% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bologna 3–3 Inter | 1.40–1.78 | 30% · 23% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lazio 2–1 Pisa | 1.11–1.56 | 27% · 25% · 48% | Won against the xG: Lazio |
| Parma 1–0 Sassuolo | 1.12–0.91 | 40% · 30% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Parma |
| Napoli 1–0 Udinese | 1.76–0.37 | 72% · 21% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Cremonese 1–4 Como | 1.06–2.47 | 14% · 17% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Lecce 1–0 Genoa | 1.43–0.68 | 55% · 27% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
| AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari | 1.74–2.78 | 23% · 17% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Torino 2–2 Juventus | 0.85–1.92 | 16% · 22% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 63% |
| Hellas Verona 0–2 AS Roma | 0.84–3.39 | 6% · 10% · 85% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.