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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.7 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como 1–0 Parma | 2.77–0.43 | 86% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Genoa 1–2 AC Milan | 1.32–1.75 | 29% · 23% · 48% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina | 1.98–0.47 | 74% · 19% · 8% | Won against the xG: Fiorentina |
| Pisa 0–3 Napoli | 0.82–1.09 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| AS Roma 2–0 Lazio | 1.19–0.69 | 48% · 31% · 21% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Inter 1–1 Hellas Verona | 2.56–1.19 | 67% · 17% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Inter had 67% |
| Atalanta 0–1 Bologna | 0.76–0.69 | 33% · 37% · 29% | Close call, Bologna won |
| Cagliari 2–1 Torino | 1.32–0.99 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce | 2.02–0.86 | 64% · 21% · 15% | Won against the xG: Lecce |
| Udinese 0–1 Cremonese | 0.35–0.45 | 20% · 52% · 27% | Close call, Cremonese won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.