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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 28.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino 2–1 Sassuolo | 3.26–2.24 | 58% · 16% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Cagliari 0–2 Udinese | 1.47–2.47 | 22% · 19% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Lazio 0–3 Inter | 0.63–1.23 | 19% · 30% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Lecce 0–1 Juventus | 0.88–2.29 | 13% · 18% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Hellas Verona 0–1 Como | 1.07–0.85 | 40% · 31% · 28% | Close call, Como won |
| Cremonese 3–0 Pisa | 1.32–0.00 | 73% · 27% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Cremonese |
| Fiorentina 0–0 Genoa | 1.00–0.50 | 47% · 35% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Parma 2–3 AS Roma | 0.73–2.62 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta | 2.21–1.38 | 56% · 20% · 23% | Won against the xG: Atalanta |
| Napoli 2–3 Bologna | 0.80–1.26 | 24% · 29% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.