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10 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 23.3 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa 1–2 Lecce | 2.23–0.88 | 68% · 19% · 13% | Won against the xG: Lecce |
| Udinese 2–0 Torino | 2.00–0.83 | 65% · 21% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
| Como 0–0 Napoli | 1.79–0.66 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Como had 65% |
| Atalanta 0–0 Genoa | 1.96–0.52 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Atalanta had 72% |
| Bologna 0–0 Cagliari | 0.53–1.07 | 18% · 33% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sassuolo 2–0 AC Milan | 1.58–0.24 | 72% · 23% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Sassuolo |
| Juventus 1–1 Hellas Verona | 2.60–0.30 | 87% · 11% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 87% |
| Inter 2–0 Parma | 2.09–0.27 | 81% · 16% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Cremonese 1–2 Lazio | 0.55–0.80 | 23% · 39% · 38% | Close call, Lazio won |
| AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina | 2.24–0.14 | 86% · 12% · 2% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.