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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.2 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli 4–0 Cremonese | 3.16–0.28 | 92% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Parma 1–0 Pisa | 1.64–1.71 | 37% · 23% · 40% | Close call, Parma won |
| Bologna 0–2 AS Roma | 0.50–2.13 | 7% · 17% · 75% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Hellas Verona 0–0 Lecce | 0.32–0.66 | 16% · 46% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo | 1.94–0.88 | 62% · 21% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Fiorentina had 62% |
| Genoa 0–2 Como | 0.59–1.06 | 20% · 33% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Torino 2–2 Inter | 2.46–1.60 | 57% · 19% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Torino had 57% |
| AC Milan 0–0 Juventus | 0.65–0.52 | 33% · 42% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta | 1.56–1.18 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Lazio 3–3 Udinese | 2.46–1.93 | 50% · 19% · 31% | Draw against the xG: Lazio had 50% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.