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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.9 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo 2–1 Como | 1.38–0.59 | 56% · 28% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Sassuolo |
| Inter 3–0 Cagliari | 2.23–0.41 | 79% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Udinese 0–1 Parma | 1.13–1.23 | 34% · 28% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Parma |
| Napoli 0–2 Lazio | 0.51–2.27 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta | 1.07–0.68 | 44% · 33% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cremonese 0–0 Torino | 0.64–0.14 | 43% · 50% · 7% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan | 0.71–0.85 | 28% · 36% · 36% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Pisa 1–2 Genoa | 1.13–1.65 | 26% · 24% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| Juventus 2–0 Bologna | 1.31–0.59 | 54% · 29% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina | 1.26–1.14 | 39% · 28% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.