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Italy Serie A 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 32

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Matches

Matchday 32 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.5 xG (1.06 goals per xG).

  • Most xG without a win: Parma 1–1 Napoli (xG 0.19–1.22). Draw against the xG: Napoli had 64% to win on xG.
  • Biggest win against the xG: Como 3–4 Inter (xG 3.12–0.88). The winner had 7% on xG.
  • Win most in line with xG: Bologna 2–0 Lecce (xG 2.16–0.32). The winner had 80% on xG.
  • Most xG: Como 3–4 Inter (xG 3.12–0.88). 4.00 xG in all.
  • Most one-sided: Como 3–4 Inter (xG 3.12–0.88). An xG gap of 2.24.
  • Most goals above xG: Inter, +3.12 goals above xG.
  • Most goals below xG: AC Milan, -1.78 goals below xG.

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
AS Roma 3–0 Pisa1.53–1.2644% · 25% · 31%Win in line with xG for AS Roma
Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese1.17–0.2859% · 32% · 9%Win in line with xG for Cagliari
Torino 2–1 Hellas Verona1.31–1.4834% · 25% · 41%Close call, Torino won
AC Milan 0–3 Udinese1.78–1.1951% · 23% · 25%Won against the xG: Udinese
Atalanta 0–1 Juventus1.68–0.6163% · 23% · 13%Won against the xG: Juventus
Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo1.18–1.2435% · 28% · 38%Close call, Genoa won
Parma 1–1 Napoli0.19–1.226% · 30% · 64%Draw against the xG: Napoli had 64%
Bologna 2–0 Lecce2.16–0.3280% · 15% · 4%Win in line with xG for Bologna
Como 3–4 Inter3.12–0.8881% · 12% · 7%Won against the xG: Inter
Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio0.61–1.3317% · 29% · 54%Won against the xG: Fiorentina

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 31 · Matchday 33

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