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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.1 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu | 1.37–0.27 | 66% · 27% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Consadole Sapporo had 66% |
| Albirex Niigata 2–2 Shonan Bellmare | 1.24–1.56 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Cerezo Osaka | 2.03–1.43 | 51% · 21% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Kashiwa Reysol had 51% |
| FC Tokyo 2–0 Kyoto Sanga | 1.43–1.95 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Won against the xG: FC Tokyo |
| Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 Vissel Kobe | 1.34–1.17 | 41% · 27% · 33% | Close call, Vissel Kobe won |
| Avispa Fukuoka 2–0 Yokohama FC | 0.53–0.61 | 26% · 43% · 31% | Close call, Avispa Fukuoka won |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 2–1 Gamba Osaka | 2.30–1.18 | 62% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kashima | 1.38–0.69 | 54% · 28% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Nagoya Grampus |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Urawa | 2.89–0.72 | 81% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.