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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 26.5 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Albirex Niigata | 0.66–1.76 | 13% · 23% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Albirex Niigata |
| Urawa 1–0 Nagoya Grampus | 0.74–1.28 | 22% · 29% · 49% | Won against the xG: Urawa |
| Kashima 2–1 Sagan Tosu | 1.82–0.74 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Kyoto Sanga 3–0 Consadole Sapporo | 1.73–2.52 | 26% · 19% · 55% | Won against the xG: Kyoto Sanga |
| Gamba Osaka 2–1 Shonan Bellmare | 2.40–1.97 | 48% · 19% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Gamba Osaka |
| Vissel Kobe 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol | 1.61–0.54 | 64% · 24% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Vissel Kobe had 64% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.67–0.90 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 2–1 FC Tokyo | 0.97–1.37 | 27% · 27% · 46% | Won against the xG: Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Yokohama FC 0–1 Cerezo Osaka | 0.90–2.91 | 9% · 13% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.