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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.4 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Urawa | 0.36–0.51 | 20% · 50% · 30% | Close call, Urawa won |
| Kashima 2–0 Albirex Niigata | 0.69–0.99 | 25% · 34% · 42% | Won against the xG: Kashima |
| Yokohama FC 4–1 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.22–1.41 | 33% · 26% · 41% | Close call, Yokohama FC won |
| Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.71–1.18 | 22% · 31% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Tokyo 2–2 Vissel Kobe | 2.28–2.58 | 35% · 18% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kawasaki Frontale 2–2 Consadole Sapporo | 2.13–1.69 | 48% · 21% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kyoto Sanga 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka | 1.33–0.93 | 46% · 28% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga |
| Cerezo Osaka 3–1 Nagoya Grampus | 0.67–0.94 | 25% · 35% · 40% | Won against the xG: Cerezo Osaka |
| Sagan Tosu 1–1 Gamba Osaka | 0.95–1.85 | 19% · 22% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Gamba Osaka had 59% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.